Ratios of moving averages to determine health of a security

In the paper Park is partial to the 200-day moving average as the longer-term moving average, and he tests a variety of short-term averages ranging from 1 to 50 days.  It should come as no surprise that they all work!  In fact, they tend to work better than simple price-return based factors.  That didn’t come as a huge surprise to us, but only because we have been tracking a similar factor for several years that uses two moving averages.  What has always surprised me is how well that factor does when compared to other calculation methods over time.

Details on this article are available here: http://systematicrelativestrength.com/2010/08/26/moving-average-ratio-and-momentum/

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