Real estate Price trends in India

This information is based on the data related by the national housing board of India.


Real estate price variation - Data statistics as per the national housing board (India).
{{Click on the image to enlarge}}

Biggest gainers in 2012 (Q2): Pune
Biggest losers: Kochi

Why is a small amount of inflation necessary?

A small amount of inflation is actually necessary for economic growth. At zero inflation, money sitting in an account can be more valuable than taking an economic risk.

It is even worse if there is deflation. Deflation is a viscious cycle, where money is even more valuable in the future than now. The deflationary spiral goes like this:   Increased value of future money --> save more ---> less investment ---> less capital ---> fewer jobs ---> lesser salaries ---> increased value of money --> ....

Why items are priced at .99c or at odd decimal digits?

Two main reasons:
* Loss prevention: the .99 pricepoint was a very early form of loss prevention,nventory control, and accounting.
There was a fear that when pricing something at 1.00 would result in the cashier pocketing the money, whereas a .99 item would mean that he would have to open the register and give a penny in change. Not a lot of registers printed receipts back then.

You can also check the amount of items based on the day's take, using simple math. Example, if the total till take ended in .56 it means that 44 (or 144) items were sold, regardless of the amount of customers.

That price point stuck, but it was really helpful to run a business efficiently. (Quora)

Psychological pricing or price ending is a marketing practice based on the theory that certain prices have a psychological impact. The retail prices are often expressed as "odd prices": a little less than a round number, e.g. $19.99 or £2.98. The theory is this drives demand greater than would be expected if consumers were perfectly rational. Psychological pricing is one cause of price points. (WIKI)

Why owning a commodity ETF (like GLD) might not be the best approach

Till now I was of the opinion that owning the physical commodity of something like Gold was best achieved by owning an ETF that buys and manages physical gold (GLD, SGOL).

There have been many articles that discuss the best way to invest in gold including a recent article that discusses why we should invest in gold rather than gold miners (GDX, GDXJ).

However an important point to note that is not captured is described in the prospectus of the GLD manual which will eventually play a dominant role in the valuation of the ETF:
The amount of gold represented by the Shares will continue to be reduced during the life of the Trust due to the sales of gold necessary to pay the Trust’s expenses irrespective of whether the trading price of the Shares rises or falls in response to changes in the price of gold.
Each outstanding Share represents a fractional, undivided interest in the gold held by the Trust. The Trust does not generate any income and regularly sells gold to pay for its ongoing expenses. Therefore, the amount of gold represented by each Share has gradually declined over time. This is also true with respect to Shares that are issued in exchange for additional deposits of gold into the Trust, as the amount of gold required to create Shares proportionately reflects the amount of gold represented by the Shares outstanding at the time of creation. Assuming a constant gold price, the trading price of the Shares is expected to gradually decline relative to the price of gold as the amount of gold represented by the Shares gradually declines. Investors should be aware that the gradual decline in the amount of gold represented by the Shares will occur regardless of whether the trading price of the Shares rises or falls in response to changes in the price of gold. The estimated ordinary operating expenses of the Trust, which accrue daily commencing after the first day of trading of the Shares, are described in the Trust’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, incorporated herein by reference.
 
Disclaimer: All information on this site is provided for educational purposes only and none of this construes investment advice.

Apple slated to have $200Billion in cash by 2014

According to a recent projection by one of the analyst, Apple (aapl) is slated to have $200B in savings pretty soon.
Apple projected and historical cash per share

Comparison of Apple and Samsung smartphone and tablet sales in the US

During the recent patent wars, these giants have had to give out their numbers here

Smarphone sales comparison - apple (aapl) and samsung USA
Comparison of tablet sale performance - aaple and samsung in the US.
.As can be seen from the numbers in the US markets, Samsung sales numbers are not even close. Hence if Andriod is really doing well in the US, it should be selling a lot more of HTC and other manufacturers than Samsung.

Why investing in high growth (GDP) countries may not work

The simplest reason could be that for any amount of money invested, these countries typically growing economies like India and China have a high rate of equity dilution resulting in a decrease in the EPS (and hence a reduction in growth seen per share brought).

This item was originally discussed here.

This is also clearly seen from the plot below by an analyst at Morgan Stanley:
(click on fig to enlarge)

Country-wise comparison of the average earnings growth with the annual dilution  - highest for high growth countries.

Correlation of international markets 10 years

Correlation of markets across the world (24 countries)
 
 This chart shows an interesting trend of the correlation of market performance across 24 countries.

It should be observed that when the bad news came, not all market reacted in the same fashion.
This can be seen because the correlation index decreases immediately after the bad news hits the markets.
 
The source of this figure is here.

Growth in the number of smartphones by make

AAPL is still chugging happily!! A nice chart showed by Asymco: 




Historical housing prices: The market is improving

Historical HPI (housing price index) - trends show an improvement.
As seen from this graph generated from yahoo finance, the housing prices have been improving steadily indicating a healthy overall recovery for the housing market.

Comparison of GDP of nations (per capita and total)

Nations with the largest total GDP as measured from 2010.

Nations with the highest per capita GDP - translating into few of the countries with the best human development index (HDI)

Best free course websites online


Best ways to get free education according to this article, which recommends these three websites to get started:




Five sites to help you save money

Brilliant post on US news.


1. Priceonomics - a price guide for everything (featured on CD).

2. Aisle50 - Like Groupon, but for groceries.

3. Dealupa - a single place to find the best daily deals, organized according to their quality and relevance to you.

4.  Carsabi - the ultimate online tool for used-car research.

5.  SpringCoin -- an automated, online debt-relief and debt- management website.

Comparison of usage: bills, credit cards, debit cards, checks for purchases

A recent article on NPR featured a discussion on the usage of different forms of money for purchases. The article was actually talking about the single factory which prints all the paper required for bills, but what was really interesting was the distribution of how the current money (bills) are spent and if they will be used as much in the future:

Different forms of money and their current and projected usage.  Comparison debit, credit cards, and checks with cash.

Comparison of emotional health and the market

Recently Gallup ran an article on the 4 year emotional  health of the american population. The main result from the article was:
Emotional health index of the american population over 4 years.


I could not help but notice this correlation with the performance of the market marked by the S & P over the past 4 yrs:

Performance of the S&P index over a 5 year period.
It can be seen by the comparison above that money or financial health does have a correlation  with the overall emotional well being of the population.

25 hottest tech firms as compiled by Forbes


THE FORBES FAST TECH 25

SALES
COMPANYBUSINESSLATEST
12 MONTHS
($MIL)
LATEST
12 MONTHS
GROWTH
3-YEAR
AVERAGE
GROWTH
EST EPS
GROWTH*
LINKEDINSOCIAL NETWORKING$522115%89%60%
APPLECOMPUTER HARDWARE/SOFTWARE142,360634318
QLIK
TECHNOLOGIES
BUSINESS ANALYTICS SOFTWARE337374037
ATHENAHEALTHCLOUD-BASED
HEALTH CARE SERVICES
351343330
EQUINIXDATA CENTER SERVICES1,696273223
EBIXSOFTWARE/E-COMMERCE SERVICES169283220
ARUBA NETWORKSWIRELESS EQUIPMENT465443125
RIVERBED
TECHNOLOGY
NETWORKING EQUIPMENT745243120
COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONSCOMPUTER
PROGRAMMING SERVICES
6,121333120
SHUTTERFLYONLINE DIGITAL PHOTO SERVICES473543019
SOURCEFIRESECURITY SYSTEMS SERVICES166272920
SOLARWINDSIT MANAGEMENT
SOFTWARE
215342920
SERVICESOURCE INTERNATIONALREVENUE MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE206342825
SYNCHRONOSS TECHNOLOGIESTRANSACTION
MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
229382723
ANCESTRY.COMONLINE GENEALOGY SERVICES417272715
FORTINETSECURITY SYSTEMS SERVICES458312720
PEGASYSTEMSBUSINESS MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE417242624
RACKSPACE HOSTINGINTERNET SOFTWARE/SERVICES1,025312439
QUALITY SYSTEMSHEALTH CARE SOFTWARE418252320
NICINFORMATION RETRIEVAL SERVICES181122225
RED HATOPEN SOURCE SOFTWARE1,133252020
GLOBAL PAYMENTSELECTRONIC PAYMENT SERVICES2,127201713
COMMVAULT
SYSTEMS
SYSTEMS SOFTWARE382281720
CACI INTERNATIONALGOVERNMENT
TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
3,774131413
VERISIGNINTERNET SOFTWARE/SERVICES796141112
*ANNUALIZED, PROJECTED OVER NEXT THREE TO FIVE YEARS. SOURCES: FACTSET ESTIMATES, INTERACTIVE DATA AND THOMSON REUTERS FUNDAMENTALS VIA FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS.

Comparison of facebook revenue before IPO with Google and others

Here is a neat chart posted by the silicon alley insider. It compares and shows the performance of the company in days just before the IPO. From the charts it can be seen that the revenue growth of facebook is nowhere near google (goog) or Linkedin (lnkd). 

Revenue growth before IPO - comparison FB, GOOG, LNKD, ZNGA

2009 Central Govt expenses as % of GDP


This information is from 2009, posted in this publication.

UK 46.4
France 47.6
Germany 31.7
Italy 44.0
Spain 30.7
Netherlands 45.6
Switzerland 17.0
Greece 50.7
Norway 35.9
Finland 35.0
Poland 35.8
Czech Republic 37.3
Estonia 36.8
US 26.3
Canada 19.2
Australia 26.6
Mexico NA (15.0 in 1998)
Brazil 25.6
Chile 22.6
Indonesia 15.7
Turkey 27.3
Thailand 19.6
Malaysia 22.7
China NA
India 16.2
South Korea 21.9
Russia 30.9

Historic US unemployment - Individuals without fulltime jobs


"More than 12 million Americans are unemployed, according to this morning's big jobs report.
But that doesn't include people who are working part-time because they can't find full-time work. Nor does it include people who want a job but haven't looked for one in the past month."  - Featured on the NPR blog:

Historical unemployment rates - from NPR blog



Performance of world asset classes

From Thomson Reuters Datastream chart guru Scott Barber, here's a quick look at how the world's major financial asset classes performed in April:



Unemployment rate for world youth - specially Europe

Click to zoom and save. Here's a chart from Scott Barber and Thomson Reuters showing youth unemployment in the eurozone:


Unemployment of youth across the world.

Counterintuitive - As trade deficit grows, historically GDP grew too

So maybe getting lower trade deficit numbers is not good news after all. Historically, it does not show increased quarter GDP.
Comparison - higher trade deficit, surprisingly higher GDP
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