Shiller P/E ratio


The Shiller P/E ratio, or the cyclically-adjusted price-earnings ratio, is one of the most popular measures of stock market value. It's calculated by taking the S&P 500 and dividing it by the average of ten years worth of earnings.  If the ratio is above the long-term average of around 15, the stock market is considered expensive.

Today, the Shiller P/E is at 22.6.

Comparison of upward mobility across countries

Social mobility or rather Income mobility describes the ability of an individual to move up in the income strata of the society. This is also an indicator of the income elasticity.  As seen in the figure a larger number for this metric shows a smaller chance of being able to move up the income groups based on previous wealth. Surprisingly, there is a higher income inequality in the US and also a lesser chance of changing income strata despite being a developed country.


Social mobility versus income comparison

What is the safest way to send someone $1,000 cash (physical bills)?

Get 10 new $100 bills. Cut them into thirds. Put all of the left sides in one envelope, right sides in another, and middles in a third. Send the envelopes separately.

1/3rd of a bill is not legal tender. Therefore, each shipment has no value. However, banks can reissue the money as long as you have > 51% of the material for each bill. Therefore, if one of the shipments is lost, the recipient still gets $1,000. [1]

You can fully eliminate the risk of loss (and reduce shipping costs) at the expense of latency. Wait for the recipient to acknowledge the receipt of each shipment before sending the next one. If a shipment is lost, split the bills into smaller parts so that you always ensure that you and the recipient have more than 51% of the bills. Once the recipient has 51% of the bills, you can stop making shipments, saving you costs.

Real estate Price trends in India

This information is based on the data related by the national housing board of India.


Real estate price variation - Data statistics as per the national housing board (India).
{{Click on the image to enlarge}}

Biggest gainers in 2012 (Q2): Pune
Biggest losers: Kochi

Why is a small amount of inflation necessary?

A small amount of inflation is actually necessary for economic growth. At zero inflation, money sitting in an account can be more valuable than taking an economic risk.

It is even worse if there is deflation. Deflation is a viscious cycle, where money is even more valuable in the future than now. The deflationary spiral goes like this:   Increased value of future money --> save more ---> less investment ---> less capital ---> fewer jobs ---> lesser salaries ---> increased value of money --> ....

Why items are priced at .99c or at odd decimal digits?

Two main reasons:
* Loss prevention: the .99 pricepoint was a very early form of loss prevention,nventory control, and accounting.
There was a fear that when pricing something at 1.00 would result in the cashier pocketing the money, whereas a .99 item would mean that he would have to open the register and give a penny in change. Not a lot of registers printed receipts back then.

You can also check the amount of items based on the day's take, using simple math. Example, if the total till take ended in .56 it means that 44 (or 144) items were sold, regardless of the amount of customers.

That price point stuck, but it was really helpful to run a business efficiently. (Quora)

* Psychological pricing or price ending is a marketing practice based on the theory that certain prices have a psychological impact. The retail prices are often expressed as "odd prices": a little less than a round number, e.g. $19.99 or £2.98. The theory is this drives demand greater than would be expected if consumers were perfectly rational. Psychological pricing is one cause of price points. (WIKI)

Why owning a commodity ETF (like GLD) might not be the best approach

Till now I was of the opinion that owning the physical commodity of something like Gold was best achieved by owning an ETF that buys and manages physical gold (GLD, SGOL).

There have been many articles that discuss the best way to invest in gold including a recent article that discusses why we should invest in gold rather than gold miners (GDX, GDXJ).

However an important point to note that is not captured is described in the prospectus of the GLD manual which will eventually play a dominant role in the valuation of the ETF:
The amount of gold represented by the Shares will continue to be reduced during the life of the Trust due to the sales of gold necessary to pay the Trust’s expenses irrespective of whether the trading price of the Shares rises or falls in response to changes in the price of gold.
Each outstanding Share represents a fractional, undivided interest in the gold held by the Trust. The Trust does not generate any income and regularly sells gold to pay for its ongoing expenses. Therefore, the amount of gold represented by each Share has gradually declined over time. This is also true with respect to Shares that are issued in exchange for additional deposits of gold into the Trust, as the amount of gold required to create Shares proportionately reflects the amount of gold represented by the Shares outstanding at the time of creation. Assuming a constant gold price, the trading price of the Shares is expected to gradually decline relative to the price of gold as the amount of gold represented by the Shares gradually declines. Investors should be aware that the gradual decline in the amount of gold represented by the Shares will occur regardless of whether the trading price of the Shares rises or falls in response to changes in the price of gold. The estimated ordinary operating expenses of the Trust, which accrue daily commencing after the first day of trading of the Shares, are described in the Trust’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, incorporated herein by reference.
 
Disclaimer: All information on this site is provided for educational purposes only and none of this construes investment advice.
powered by Blogger | WordPress by Newwpthemes | Converted by BloggerTheme